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top Draft player probability ?

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This Post:
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305593.19 in reply to 305593.18
Date: 8/12/2020 5:31:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
260260
So I don't think its a 99% chance.

In my opinion I would rather say 50% chance to have a 5/5 18yo among the 24 players.

This Post:
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305593.21 in reply to 305593.18
Date: 8/12/2020 9:40:58 AM
Vilkiukai
LBBL
Overall Posts Rated:
471471
Second Team:
Vilkiukai II
Totally agree with you, 19 years old prospects are absolute waste. Never understood why people happy with these. Only reasonable occasion in my eyes is when team is homegrown.

Overall game went to some ridiculous power creep since season 25 or so when I last played. 120 tsp players used to be absolute nt beasts, now they complementary players in div 2 lol. Same with drafts, they used to be so shitty, like average 1,5 player 5/4 per draft, every 3rd league had an mvp and hof you could see in your dreams, and nobody even dreamed about atg. Now people complain that it is quite hard to draft hof.... Like Popovic said during finals 'it is not supposed to be easy", I can say similarly about draft, it shouldn't be easy to draft potential nt player.

This Post:
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305593.22 in reply to 305593.12
Date: 8/12/2020 3:41:57 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
117117
That 19 years old player still can become a top player.Special if he will be a pot 10 or 11 player with 60 or more starting skills with good distribution


A 60 tsp 19 year old is only as good as an 18 year old between a 45 and 50 tsp. Since my guy isn't A+ he'll be at least a season behind the top level 18 year olds.

This Post:
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305593.24 in reply to 305593.23
Date: 8/12/2020 7:31:49 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
117117
That's why I said at least. Even without the youth trainer, we're talking at least 15 tsp head start for an 18 year old.

This Post:
11
305593.28 in reply to 305593.25
Date: 8/14/2020 5:02:20 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
117117
I have trained a 19 year old with better skills than all that you mentioned and that was before he turned 27. That said, you're still missing the point.

It is far better to train an 18 year old to 140 tsp and have 5-6 seasons at their peak while training the next trainees than to train a 19 year old up to his 30s to reach the same level.

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