Current standings and opponents left to play:
1. Srbija     5 0 562 421 141  Schweiz Belgium
2. Rossiya    4 1 580 526  54  Belgium Schweiz
3. Belgium    3 2 554 509  45  Rossiya Srbija
4. Schweiz    3 2 530 511  19  Srbija Rossiya
5. England    2 3 491 514 -23  Shqipëria Hrvatska
6. Hrvatska   2 3 501 529 -28  Sakartvelo England
7. Sakartvelo 1 4 539 626 -87  Hrvatska Shqipëria
8. Shqipëria  0 5 415 536 -121 England Sakartvelo
I'm an NT noob but from reading the rules what I understand is the 4 best 3rd place teams (or 4 best records of teams not in the top 2?) go into a consolation tournament. There's 5 teams in Europe on 4-1 who aren't in the top 2 so getting into that looks unlikely. Next two games are winnable though and with Belgium and the Swiss playing Russia and Serbia finishing 3rd 
is possible. So we're hoping for Rus/Serb winning both games. It may not count for anything, but it'd look pretty good! Lots better than 5th.