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Season 56 Smack

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From: Apex

This Post:
00
312836.34 in reply to 312836.1
Date: 02/03/2022 23:52:30
Atelier
IV.13
Overall Posts Rated:
415415
Second Team:
Bomboclaats
GL in the cup Chek, this game just keeps wanting to see us play each other I guess…

2x NBBA Champion: S55, S56. 3x USA Cup Champion: S54, S55, S56. WR for longest home streak ever at 11 in Season 47.
From: Chekreyes

To: Apex
This Post:
00
312836.35 in reply to 312836.34
Date: 02/04/2022 00:07:47
Overall Posts Rated:
926926
This is the salt in the wound of last seasons playoffs.

This Post:
22
312836.36 in reply to 312836.35
Date: 02/06/2022 13:00:09
Wasted Potential
NBBA
Overall Posts Rated:
454454
Second Team:
Hazards to Society
Power Rankings after the 1st round of Conference Play

1. Atelier (7-0) - OFF(2), DEF(2), Rating (388.91)
2. F.Day Internet Lovers Club (6-1) - OFF(1), DEF(1), Rating (357.73)
3. Delta 9 (5-2) - OFF(5), DEF(4), Rating (338.84)
4. Jim Almeidas Janitor Crew (6-1) - OFF(4), DEF(3), Rating (334.91)
5. Irvine Anteaters (5-2) - OFF(9), DEF(6), Rating (324.49)
6. Wasted Potential (4-3) - OFF(6), DEF(10), Rating (303.63)
7. Delaware 87ers (4-3) - OFF(8), DEF(9), Rating (300.89)
8. 10inch Vertical (3-4) - OFF(12), DEF(8), Rating (282.9)
9. Arizona Cacti (2-5) - OFF(3), DEF(7), Rating (279.87)
10. Triple-Double (4-3) - OFF(7), DEF(5), Rating (275.84)
11. BallHoggersFTW (3-4) - OFF(10), DEF(11), Rating (253.04)
12. Work in Progress (2-5) - OFF(11), DEF(12), Rating (252.34)
13. Telecasters (1-6) - OFF(13), DEF(13), Rating (244.63)
14. Flash Mashers (2-5) - OFF(14), DEF(14), Rating (221.14)
15. U.K Nuggets (1-6) - OFF(15), DEF(15), Rating (192.33)
16. Ice Man (1-6) - OFF(16), DEF(16), Rating (64.29)

A few notes this week:
- Atelier crushed the Big 8 competition through 7 games and remains the heavy favorite.
- Arizona Cacti continued the bad luck of the first 7 games by getting Normal’d again and this time it resulted in a overtime loss at the buzzer.
- Telecasters can’t catch a break with injuries.

Updated MVP races with projected points from voting:

1. Calvin Webb (Wasted Potential) – 67.1
2. Philip Mrosla (Flash Mashers) – 59.1
3. Enrikas Servutas (Jim Almeidas Janitor Crew) – 57.3
4. Rudolph Bauer (Irvine Anteaters) – 47.9
5. Domingo Amarante (Wasted Potential) – 44.7

The Next 5: Artaxerxis Tzougkarakis (Delta 9), Chrisopher Stepp (Atelier), Li Hoi Chi (F.Day Internet Lovers Club), Greg Lackey (Atelier), Gerald Menard (Delta 9)

I’m surprised the model doesn’t like Apex’s players more given how much team record seems to influence MVP voting. However, there isn’t too much of a difference in the predicted votes from 5 to 10.

From: Apex

This Post:
00
312836.37 in reply to 312836.36
Date: 02/06/2022 16:46:26
Atelier
IV.13
Overall Posts Rated:
415415
Second Team:
Bomboclaats
Yeah however I build/manage my team doesn't do any good for MVP's. 34 seasons and I haven't had a single player win an MVP...

2x NBBA Champion: S55, S56. 3x USA Cup Champion: S54, S55, S56. WR for longest home streak ever at 11 in Season 47.
From: Apex

This Post:
00
312836.38 in reply to 312836.22
Date: 02/07/2022 00:41:20
Atelier
IV.13
Overall Posts Rated:
415415
Second Team:
Bomboclaats
I really wanted Ercilla but now I ended up just getting you an extra 120k for him.

So enjoy that I guess

2x NBBA Champion: S55, S56. 3x USA Cup Champion: S54, S55, S56. WR for longest home streak ever at 11 in Season 47.
This Post:
00
312836.39 in reply to 312836.36
Date: 02/07/2022 18:47:02
Overall Posts Rated:
926926
Yeah I feel like there is no shot Mrosla would be that high given my record. Maybe I'm wrong though.

This Post:
22
312836.40 in reply to 312836.39
Date: 02/08/2022 15:10:30
Wasted Potential
NBBA
Overall Posts Rated:
454454
Second Team:
Hazards to Society
I took another look at the model and added in the point differential per game for the team a player is on. Looks like PD actually has a much bigger impact on MVP voting than a teams record. This makes sense looking at last season's MVP. Also looking at my old league II.4 in season 54 a team with a 9-13 record had the MVP, but they had a positive PD.

After updating the model with this new info, Tzougkarakis jumps to first, followed by Lackey and then Servutas. Basically all the players on teams with higher PD get a boost. Webb falls to 5th, Mrosla to 7th.

The most important things the model uses in predicting an MVP are Point Differential, Scoring (PPG and FGM per game), Rating, Games played, and RPG. Other factors are considered as well, but those are the top 5 most important. I'll use this updated version next week and may keep tweaking it to see if I can keep improving it.

This Post:
11
312836.41 in reply to 312836.40
Date: 02/11/2022 13:37:47
Delta 9
III.15
Overall Posts Rated:
6464
Second Team:
Euphoria Seekers
Nice going, Ballhoggers, on taking it to Atelier. I should've put in effort and tried to beat them in the first game of the season. That was a bad mistake ... Otherwise, he might have 2 losses

p.s. what a rough week it was for the AZ Cacti ...

Last edited by Dmitri at 02/11/2022 15:21:30

From: Apex

This Post:
00
312836.42 in reply to 312836.41
Date: 02/12/2022 10:51:19
Atelier
IV.13
Overall Posts Rated:
415415
Second Team:
Bomboclaats
Cacti's just had a rough season honestly...

But yeah I probably could have won all my games last week but didn't wanna risk taking too many players out against Chek in the cup cause Mrosla's still Mrosla. Props to Ballhoggers though, well played.

I'm glad I managed to traverse my loss against you on the road this season. You've done a nice job of smacking me on the road these last few seasons.

Last edited by Apex at 02/12/2022 10:52:29

2x NBBA Champion: S55, S56. 3x USA Cup Champion: S54, S55, S56. WR for longest home streak ever at 11 in Season 47.
From: Chekreyes

To: Apex
This Post:
00
312836.43 in reply to 312836.42
Date: 02/12/2022 13:15:52
Overall Posts Rated:
926926
Glad to see my three person team still made you roll out the red carpet :)

From: jv03

This Post:
11
312836.44 in reply to 312836.36
Date: 02/13/2022 10:28:32
Telecasters
III.9
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
Second Team:
Telecasters II
Nice work! A cold start and then my three best players getting injured doesn’t help the Telecasters ranking, hopefully we surge up the rankings when my guys come back.

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