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Season 56 Smack

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This Post:
00
312836.30 in reply to 312836.26
Date: 01/27/2022 22:50:35
Delta 9
III.15
Overall Posts Rated:
6464
Second Team:
Euphoria Seekers
I've never heard such kind words. Thank you. You've invirgorarting my spirit s. Ty

This Post:
77
312836.31 in reply to 312836.30
Date: 01/30/2022 15:11:44
Wasted Potential
NBBA
Overall Posts Rated:
454454
Second Team:
Hazards to Society
Okay, I decided to try and automate my rankings a bit to see if I could easily generate some weekly. I basically just took stats from buzzer-manager and then ranked every team on a 400-point scale. 100 points each for the following categories:

W/L record
Point Differential
Total Team Salary
Cup performance

While this may not give the most accurate ranking, I thought it sums up a team’s performance pretty well and was easy to calculate. Here are this week’s rankings along with each team’s ranking in offensive and defensive efficiency.

1. Atelier OFF(2) , DEF(2), OVR TEAM SCORE (375.42) (5-0)
2. F.Day Internet Lovers Club OFF(1) , DEF(1), OVR TEAM SCORE (372.02) (5-0)
3. Irvine Anteaters OFF(6) , DEF(4), OVR TEAM SCORE (331.09) (5-0)
4. Triple-Double OFF(4) , DEF(3), OVR TEAM SCORE (317.66) (4-1)
5. Delta 9 OFF(3) , DEF(6), OVR TEAM SCORE (308.83) (3-2)
6. Jim Almeidas Janitor Crew OFF(5) , DEF(5), OVR TEAM SCORE (303.17) (4-1)
7. Wasted Potential OFF(7) , DEF(9), OVR TEAM SCORE (264.76) (2-3)
8. Delaware 87ers OFF(8) , DEF(8), OVR TEAM SCORE (261.23) (2-3)
9. 10inch Vertical OFF(12) , DEF(7), OVR TEAM SCORE (258.33) (2-3)
10. Telecasters OFF(10) , DEF(12), OVR TEAM SCORE (237.61) (1-4)
11. Arizona Cacti OFF(9) , DEF(10), OVR TEAM SCORE (234.45) (1-4)
12. Flash Mashers OFF(14) , DEF(13), OVR TEAM SCORE (224) (2-3)
13. Work in Progress OFF(11) , DEF(11), OVR TEAM SCORE (218.17) (1-4)
14. BallHoggersFTW OFF(13) , DEF(14), OVR TEAM SCORE (196.64) (1-4)
15. U.K Nuggets OFF(15) , DEF(15), OVR TEAM SCORE (185.93) (1-4)
16. Ice Man OFF(16) , DEF(16), OVR TEAM SCORE (120) (1-4)

No write-up on any team as it took my time to set this up, but now I can generate this in like 5 minutes each week. I can also very easily alter the formula for giving a team score based on suggestions. These rankings aligned pretty closely with the original tier list.

Finally, I also developed a very simple MVP predictor model based on the last 20 seasons of NBBA data on MVPs. It is very, very simple as of now but it projects how many points a player will get in the MVP vote based on their current stats. Here is the top 5 and their projected votes:

1. Dion Jackson (Irvine Anteaters) – 73.49
2. Enrikas Servutas (Jim Almeidas Janitor Crew) – 62.4
3. Rudolph Bauer (Irvine Anteaters) – 60
4. Philip Mrosla (Flash Mashers) – 58.31
5. Greg Lackey (Atelier) – 42.28

Obviously, Dion Jackson is no longer in the league, but there are the current projections.

While this did take a little time to set up, it should be relatively easy to post week to week as all I have to do is run one script and copy some data over from buzzer-manager.


Last edited by Mediocrity at 01/30/2022 15:15:17

From: Apex

This Post:
00
312836.32 in reply to 312836.31
Date: 01/31/2022 11:40:18
Atelier
IV.13
Overall Posts Rated:
415415
Second Team:
Bomboclaats
Love the idea: Unique, fun, engaging. Good stuff

2x NBBA Champion: S55, S56. 3x USA Cup Champion: S54, S55, S56. WR for longest home streak ever at 11 in Season 47.
This Post:
11
312836.33 in reply to 312836.31
Date: 02/03/2022 09:21:09
BallHoggersFTW
III.16
Overall Posts Rated:
88
....And I took that personally

From: Apex

This Post:
00
312836.34 in reply to 312836.1
Date: 02/03/2022 23:52:30
Atelier
IV.13
Overall Posts Rated:
415415
Second Team:
Bomboclaats
GL in the cup Chek, this game just keeps wanting to see us play each other I guess…

2x NBBA Champion: S55, S56. 3x USA Cup Champion: S54, S55, S56. WR for longest home streak ever at 11 in Season 47.
From: Chekreyes

To: Apex
This Post:
00
312836.35 in reply to 312836.34
Date: 02/04/2022 00:07:47
Overall Posts Rated:
926926
This is the salt in the wound of last seasons playoffs.

This Post:
22
312836.36 in reply to 312836.35
Date: 02/06/2022 13:00:09
Wasted Potential
NBBA
Overall Posts Rated:
454454
Second Team:
Hazards to Society
Power Rankings after the 1st round of Conference Play

1. Atelier (7-0) - OFF(2), DEF(2), Rating (388.91)
2. F.Day Internet Lovers Club (6-1) - OFF(1), DEF(1), Rating (357.73)
3. Delta 9 (5-2) - OFF(5), DEF(4), Rating (338.84)
4. Jim Almeidas Janitor Crew (6-1) - OFF(4), DEF(3), Rating (334.91)
5. Irvine Anteaters (5-2) - OFF(9), DEF(6), Rating (324.49)
6. Wasted Potential (4-3) - OFF(6), DEF(10), Rating (303.63)
7. Delaware 87ers (4-3) - OFF(8), DEF(9), Rating (300.89)
8. 10inch Vertical (3-4) - OFF(12), DEF(8), Rating (282.9)
9. Arizona Cacti (2-5) - OFF(3), DEF(7), Rating (279.87)
10. Triple-Double (4-3) - OFF(7), DEF(5), Rating (275.84)
11. BallHoggersFTW (3-4) - OFF(10), DEF(11), Rating (253.04)
12. Work in Progress (2-5) - OFF(11), DEF(12), Rating (252.34)
13. Telecasters (1-6) - OFF(13), DEF(13), Rating (244.63)
14. Flash Mashers (2-5) - OFF(14), DEF(14), Rating (221.14)
15. U.K Nuggets (1-6) - OFF(15), DEF(15), Rating (192.33)
16. Ice Man (1-6) - OFF(16), DEF(16), Rating (64.29)

A few notes this week:
- Atelier crushed the Big 8 competition through 7 games and remains the heavy favorite.
- Arizona Cacti continued the bad luck of the first 7 games by getting Normal’d again and this time it resulted in a overtime loss at the buzzer.
- Telecasters can’t catch a break with injuries.

Updated MVP races with projected points from voting:

1. Calvin Webb (Wasted Potential) – 67.1
2. Philip Mrosla (Flash Mashers) – 59.1
3. Enrikas Servutas (Jim Almeidas Janitor Crew) – 57.3
4. Rudolph Bauer (Irvine Anteaters) – 47.9
5. Domingo Amarante (Wasted Potential) – 44.7

The Next 5: Artaxerxis Tzougkarakis (Delta 9), Chrisopher Stepp (Atelier), Li Hoi Chi (F.Day Internet Lovers Club), Greg Lackey (Atelier), Gerald Menard (Delta 9)

I’m surprised the model doesn’t like Apex’s players more given how much team record seems to influence MVP voting. However, there isn’t too much of a difference in the predicted votes from 5 to 10.

From: Apex

This Post:
00
312836.37 in reply to 312836.36
Date: 02/06/2022 16:46:26
Atelier
IV.13
Overall Posts Rated:
415415
Second Team:
Bomboclaats
Yeah however I build/manage my team doesn't do any good for MVP's. 34 seasons and I haven't had a single player win an MVP...

2x NBBA Champion: S55, S56. 3x USA Cup Champion: S54, S55, S56. WR for longest home streak ever at 11 in Season 47.
From: Apex

This Post:
00
312836.38 in reply to 312836.22
Date: 02/07/2022 00:41:20
Atelier
IV.13
Overall Posts Rated:
415415
Second Team:
Bomboclaats
I really wanted Ercilla but now I ended up just getting you an extra 120k for him.

So enjoy that I guess

2x NBBA Champion: S55, S56. 3x USA Cup Champion: S54, S55, S56. WR for longest home streak ever at 11 in Season 47.
This Post:
00
312836.39 in reply to 312836.36
Date: 02/07/2022 18:47:02
Overall Posts Rated:
926926
Yeah I feel like there is no shot Mrosla would be that high given my record. Maybe I'm wrong though.

This Post:
22
312836.40 in reply to 312836.39
Date: 02/08/2022 15:10:30
Wasted Potential
NBBA
Overall Posts Rated:
454454
Second Team:
Hazards to Society
I took another look at the model and added in the point differential per game for the team a player is on. Looks like PD actually has a much bigger impact on MVP voting than a teams record. This makes sense looking at last season's MVP. Also looking at my old league II.4 in season 54 a team with a 9-13 record had the MVP, but they had a positive PD.

After updating the model with this new info, Tzougkarakis jumps to first, followed by Lackey and then Servutas. Basically all the players on teams with higher PD get a boost. Webb falls to 5th, Mrosla to 7th.

The most important things the model uses in predicting an MVP are Point Differential, Scoring (PPG and FGM per game), Rating, Games played, and RPG. Other factors are considered as well, but those are the top 5 most important. I'll use this updated version next week and may keep tweaking it to see if I can keep improving it.

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